By T. V. Paul
Because the global enters the 3rd decade of the twenty-first century, far-reaching adjustments tend to happen. China, Russia, India, and Brazil, and maybe others, tend to grow to be contenders for worldwide management roles. warfare as a system-changing mechanism is unbelievable, on condition that it'll amplify into nuclear clash and the destruction of the planet. it truly is hence crucial that policymakers in verified in addition to emerging states devise recommendations to permit transitions with no resorting to struggle, yet dominant theories of diplomacy contend that significant adjustments within the approach are as a rule attainable merely via violent clash. This quantity asks no matter if peaceable lodging of emerging powers is feasible within the replaced overseas context, in particular opposed to the backdrop of intensified globalization. through historical instances, it argues that peaceable switch is feasible via potent long term ideas at the a part of either establishment and emerging powers.
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Additional info for Accommodating Rising Powers: Past, Present, and Future
40 Much depends on India’s own internal development, which at times looks questionable. A condition that may accentuate India’s accommodation would be balance of power politics. If the US–China balance of power competition heats up, India could become a major third player in tilting the balance either way, as China managed to do with the US–Soviet power equation in the 1970s. Brazil’s accommodation, similar to India’s, may also occur peacefully. However, Brazil’s weaknesses in military strength may have to be compensated through other means, such as a greater institutional leadership 39 40 Kai He and Huiyun Feng, “If Not Soft Balancing, Then What?
This chapter consists of four sections, which examine balance of power theory and the likelihood of peaceful accommodation of the BRICS. V. Paul, “Soft Balancing in the Age of US Primacy,” International Security 30, no. 1 (Summer 2005), 46–71. Robert S. Ross, “International Bargaining and Domestic Politics: US-China Relations since 1972,” International Security, 38, no. 2 (January 1986), 255–87. Pivot to the Pacific? The Obama Administration’s “Rebalancing” Toward Asia, Congressional Research Service Report, March 29, 2012, p.
W. Norton, 2001). See also Aaron L. W. Norton, 2011). On the effect of unipolarity on a rising China, see Zhu Feng, “China’s Rise will be Peaceful: How Unipolarity Matters,” in China’s Ascent: Power, Security, and the Future of International Politics, eds. Robert S. Ross and Zhu Feng (Ithaca: Cornell University Press, 2008), 34–54; Avery Goldstein, “Parsing China’s Rise: International Circumstances and National Attributes,” in Ross and Feng, China’s Ascent, 55–86. For recent applications of power transition theory to China’s rise, see Douglas Lemke and Ronald Tammen, “Power Transition Theory and the Rise of China,” International Interactions 29, No.
Accommodating Rising Powers: Past, Present, and Future by T. V. Paul