By Walter L. Perry, John Gordon
Operations in Iraq and Afghanistan have proven that U.S. forces desire more-effective concepts and tactics to behavior counterinsurgency. they're going to probably face comparable, abnormal conflict strategies from destiny enemies. This monograph examines the character of the modern rebel hazard and gives insights on utilizing operational research innovations to aid intelligence operations in counterinsurgencies.
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Additional info for Analytic Support to Intelligence in Counterinsurgencies
This of course, can seriously aﬀect analysis. t Multiple Databases. In Iraq and to some degree in Afghanistan, the several databases are not linked or cross-referenced, and many are stored locally and not easily accessed. 3 Typically, explosive ordnance disposal (EOD) personnel are called to the scene of an insurgent attack to examine the remnants of the attack. Whereas the original SIGACTS report was recorded by the unit experiencing the attack at the location indicated on their Global Positioning System (GPS) reading, the CEXC team may enter an entirely diﬀerent location based on its reading because it 3 Not all signiﬁcant incidents are investigated by CEXC teams.
To be eﬀective, the COINCOP should present views for both commanders and analysts—most likely, intelligence analysts. The views must be tailored to the needs of each. COINCOP’s main purpose beyond providing situational awareness is to show targeting opportunities against insurgent networks, show intelligence needs and collection opportunities, and help advise on force-protection decisions. 1, includes four key display tools. The ﬁrst presents views tailored to commanders, displaying the overall insurgent order of battle (to the extent that it is understood).
1 depicts the evolution of most insurgent movements. 1 David C. : RAND Corporation, OP-168-OSD, 2007. 1 Proto-Insurgency In the initial, proto-insurgency phase, the movement is small and weak. It is normally composed of a small cadre of “true believers” who are strongly committed to dramatic change in the political-economic status quo of a nation or region. At this stage their capabilities—including their potential to “make trouble”—are limited. , the overthrow of the existing government), but these embryonic groups may actually be at odds with each other.
Analytic Support to Intelligence in Counterinsurgencies by Walter L. Perry, John Gordon